Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.767602e-05 2.165410e-05 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051
2025-08-17 1.128517e-05 1.596273e-05 0.000022 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048 0.000060
2025-08-24 7.590522e-06 1.235219e-05 0.000019 0.000027 0.000038 0.000052 0.000069
2025-08-31 5.547676e-06 1.030202e-05 0.000017 0.000027 0.000040 0.000057 0.000079
2025-09-07 3.930064e-06 8.407569e-06 0.000015 0.000026 0.000041 0.000060 0.000087
2025-09-14 2.643568e-06 6.644262e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000040 0.000062 0.000093
2025-09-21 1.802379e-06 5.371070e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000041 0.000065 0.000099
2025-09-28 1.179764e-06 4.276134e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000040 0.000066 0.000105
2025-10-05 8.669547e-07 3.733929e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000042 0.000071 0.000114
2025-10-12 6.224615e-07 3.242060e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000043 0.000075 0.000123
2025-10-19 4.114382e-07 2.711048e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000044 0.000078 0.000129
2025-10-26 3.549485e-07 2.668891e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000047 0.000085 0.000143
2025-11-02 1.985428e-07 2.161820e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000049 0.000090 0.000155
2025-11-09 6.955828e-08 1.487477e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000048 0.000091 0.000162
2025-11-16 1.893027e-08 1.039186e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000047 0.000094 0.000169
2025-11-23 4.636550e-09 8.020655e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000049 0.000099 0.000182
2025-11-30 2.492421e-10 5.682238e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000049 0.000102 0.000191
2025-12-07 NaN 3.596672e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000048 0.000103 0.000198
2025-12-14 NaN 2.290124e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000048 0.000106 0.000206
2025-12-21 NaN 1.331100e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000047 0.000107 0.000213
2025-12-28 NaN 9.486259e-08 0.000003 0.000016 0.000049 0.000113 0.000227
2026-01-04 NaN 6.423359e-08 0.000003 0.000016 0.000050 0.000118 0.000239
2026-01-11 NaN 3.668567e-08 0.000002 0.000015 0.000051 0.000121 0.000250